Track Record

MISPRICING +1.4%

Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +6.1%

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 10? ↗

Our Call: No

ABSURD +2.8%

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 9? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +24.2%

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +6.6%

Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 20 and 23 inclusive? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +11.2%

Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 36 and 39 inclusive? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +18.3%

Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 24 and 27 inclusive? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +14.9%

Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 7? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +3.6%

Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be less than 5? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +5.2%

Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be fewer than 24? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +8.1%

Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 5? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.8%

NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.4%

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.5%

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +6.1%

Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +8.7%

Gemini 4.0 released by August 31, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +8.1%

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by August 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +11.1%

Israel closes its airspace by August 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +19.8%

Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.6%

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +10.5%

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +6.5%

Will Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.7%

Will Rebekah LaVann be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +13.0%

Will Tom Tiffany win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Republican primary election? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +1.2%

Will Tyler Kistner be the Republican Nominee for MN-02? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.9%

Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +9.1%

Will Jim Priest be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.2%

Will John Rodgers win the 2026 Vermont Governor Republican primary election? ↗

Our Call: No

ABSURD +15.6%

Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.2%

Will Lois Frankel be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING Wrong

Will Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +31.6%

Will Oliver Adams Larkin be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.7%

Israel closes its airspace by August 15? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.3%

Iran leadership change by August 15? ↗

Our Call: No

ABSURD +9.2%

Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +6.8%

Will Esther Charlestin win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.2%

Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.4%

Will Russia enter Moskovka by July 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.7%

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +7.8%

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by July 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +24.2%

Israel closes its airspace by July 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +5.2%

Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by July 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +5.0%

Iran leadership change by July 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.7%

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by July 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +16.3%

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.7%

Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +5.1%

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.2%

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.6%

Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +10.4%

Will Safepoint not IPO before August 2026? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +22.0%

Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.2%

Will Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.5%

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +9.3%

Will Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +18.3%

Will King Abdullah II sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +5.8%

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +5.0%

Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +6.0%

Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +24.2%

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

5050_TRAP +44.9%

Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? ↗

Our Call: No

5050_TRAP +20.5%

New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +26.8%

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +20.3%

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING Wrong

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +5.6%

Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be less than 1.0%? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +7.9%

Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +22.7%

Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING Wrong

Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by July 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING Wrong

Will Rhoda Magbitang win Top Chef Season 23? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +7.9%

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +9.3%

Israel closes its airspace by July 24? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.1%

Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING Wrong

Will Justin Tootla be eliminated from Top Chef: Season 23 this week? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.1%

Will Hunter Biden announce a Delaware Senate run by July 14? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +16.3%

Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.0%

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +11.7%

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +12.4%

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +8.1%

Will Xavier Becerra win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election by less than 5%? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +9.9%

Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +5.7%

Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.6%

Will Rick Caruso win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +8.1%

GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.7%

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.5%

Sudan civil war ceasefire by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +9.7%

Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING Wrong

Will Baltazar Fedalizo advance from the CA-37 primary election? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +7.6%

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +32.9%

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.1%

Will the Small Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +9.9%

Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +6.4%

Will Cboe Futures Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +13.3%

Will ForecastEx self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.8%

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.8%

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.5%

Will Iván Cepeda win between 40% and 45% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +9.9%

Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.8%

Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +6.3%

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.9%

Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 70% and 75%? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +2.2%

Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +8.1%

Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in June? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.6%

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.7%

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +998.9%

Will Waymo operate in 8 cities on June 30 2026? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +2.6%

Will Aristotle self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.8%

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.5%

US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

ABSURD +1.3%

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.3%

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +8.1%

Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

ABSURD +1.3%

Meek Mill gets Y Combinator funding by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.6%

Will Intercontinental Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +10.9%

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +11.1%

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +12.4%

Nothing Ever Happens: June ↗

Our Call: Nothing

MISPRICING +2.2%

Will Israel annex any territory by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.8%

Israeli forces enter Beirut by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +7.1%

Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.4%

Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel in US custody by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.4%

Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +8.1%

US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +5.8%

Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.6%

Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.6%

Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +9.3%

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.1%

Kurds declare independence from Iran? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING Wrong

Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +8.2%

U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.8%

Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +15.6%

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +35.1%

Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +25.0%

Weed rescheduled by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +15.6%

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.3%

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $80 on the final trading day of June 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.1%

Will Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +2.5%

Will Silver (SI) settle over $65 on the final trading day of June 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.8%

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.7%

Will Russia enter Svitle by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.8%

Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.3%

Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +11.1%

Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +8.3%

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +5.3%

Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +5.4%

Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.0%

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.1%

Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

ABSURD +1.6%

Will Silver (SI) settle at <$50 in June? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.5%

Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +8.7%

Will Elon Musk go on Joe Rogan before June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.5%

Kash Patel out by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +5.3%

Will Russia capture Sofiivka by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +9.3%

Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

ABSURD +2.2%

Will Russia capture Bilytske by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

ARBITRAGE +60.0%

Will any AI model reach 1530 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

ABSURD +2.5%

Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,600 on the final trading day of June 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

ABSURD +4.0%

Will Silver (SI) settle over $80 on the final trading day of June 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

ABSURD +3.8%

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +9.0%

Will any AI model reach 1550 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

ABSURD +17.6%

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +8.0%

Will Perena launch a token by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +5.7%

Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.4%

Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.6%

Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.3%

Will Tempo launch a token by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +8.1%

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +8.1%

Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.3%

Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in June 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

ABSURD +1.4%

Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.1%

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on June 30? ↗

Our Call: Anthropic

MISPRICING +3.1%

Will Tread launch a token by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +8.1%

Will Turkey sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.4%

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.5%

Will OpenAI have the third highest private market valuation on June 30? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +2.9%

Will Jeff Hurd be the Republican nominee for CO-03? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +3.6%

Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.4%

Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.9%

Israel closes its airspace by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.9%

Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +7.0%

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +9.9%

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +17.0%

Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +20.5%

Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.0%

US x China tariff agreement by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +9.3%

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

ABSURD +6.4%

Will Qatar send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +21.2%

Ebola case in the US by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.2%

Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.9%

Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.5%

Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.6%

Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

ABSURD +2.8%

Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,000 on the final trading day of June 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING Wrong

Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $10B by June 30? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +2.2%

SAVE America Act becomes law by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +7.0%

Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +14.9%

Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +12.4%

Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.7%

Will Tabi launch a token by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

ABSURD +1.6%

Will Silver (SI) settle over $120 on the final trading day of June 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.5%

Will Curvance launch a token by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

ABSURD +2.0%

Will Silver (SI) settle at $90-$100 in June? ↗

Our Call: No

ABSURD +1.8%

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June? ↗

Our Call: No

ABSURD +2.8%

Will Silver (SI) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

ABSURD +2.9%

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.5%

Will Reya launch a token by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

ABSURD +4.2%

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June? ↗

Our Call: No

ABSURD +5.8%

Will Silver (SI) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

ABSURD +6.4%

Will Silver (SI) settle at $80-$90 in June? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING Wrong

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $70 on the final trading day of June 2026? ↗

Our Call: Yes

ABSURD +5.2%

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING Wrong

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +1.7%

Will OpenAI have the highest private market valuation on June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +9.9%

Will the federal gas tax be suspended by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +9.3%

Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.2%

Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

ABSURD Wrong

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $63-$70 in June? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +7.0%

Israel military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +8.1%

Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.0%

Netanyahu out by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +6.3%

Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on Humanity’s Last Exam? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.9%

Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +19.8%

Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam? ↗

Our Call: No

ABSURD +20.6%

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.4%

Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.6%

Will Trump visit Pakistan by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.4%

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +5.3%

No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +13.0%

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +30.7%

Meta "Mango" model released by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.2%

Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $125B by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.3%

Katy Perry confirmed pregnant by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +6.8%

Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +5.1%

Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +10.5%

Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +8.7%

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.4%

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.6%

Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

ABSURD +2.6%

Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $150B by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

ABSURD +5.7%

Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.0%

Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.5%

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.1%

Will Trump and Putin not meet? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +4.1%

Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +12.4%

Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

ABSURD +1.6%

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? ↗

Our Call: No

ABSURD +2.8%

Will Silver (SI) settle over $110 on the final trading day of June 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

ABSURD +4.2%

Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

ABSURD +3.3%

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.8%

Insurrection Act invoked by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

ABSURD +4.0%

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +5.3%

Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +6.4%

Les Wexner charged by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

ABSURD +10.5%

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

ABSURD +1.3%

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June? ↗

Our Call: No

ABSURD +1.6%

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June? ↗

Our Call: No

ABSURD +2.2%

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.1%

Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

ABSURD +5.8%

Will Silver (SI) settle over $95 on the final trading day of June 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +8.7%

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +24.2%

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +25.8%

Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.0%

Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.7%

Will Woody Allen be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.3%

Will Kevin Spacey be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.1%

Will Ghislaine Maxwell Testify to Congress about Epstein? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.1%

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.6%

Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.4%

Will Malaysia recognize Israel by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.7%

Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.8%

Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.7%

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +6.4%

Will Indonesia recognize Israel by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +18.3%

US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.8%

Will Iraq recognize Israel by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.7%

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.1%

Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.6%

Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.3%

Will Russia enter Dobropillia by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.3%

Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +17.6%

Over $2M committed to the ALIGN public sale? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.7%

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +14.9%

Over $1M committed to the ALIGN public sale? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +35.0%

Over $250k committed to the ALIGN public sale? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.5%

Will Elon Musk be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.0%

Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.8%

Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.3%

Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.4%

Zendaya confirmed pregnant by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.1%

Will Jay-Z be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.7%

State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.8%

Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.1%

Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.6%

Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +6.2%

Will Steven Tisch be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +12.4%

Another Elon baby by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +12.4%

Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +16.3%

Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.8%

Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.6%

Will Stripe not IPO by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +2.2%

Lecornu out as French PM by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.4%

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +19.0%

Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +2.7%

Will Pakistan recognize Israel by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.1%

Another Canada election called by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.7%

Will Ubisoft announce bankruptcy by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.4%

Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.5%

Will Jared Kushner enter Iran by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +7.0%

Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +9.9%

Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +14.9%

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.5%

Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.5%

Will any U.S. Senator enter Iran by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.6%

Tucker Carlson federally charged? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.7%

Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +5.1%

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +11.1%

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +17.6%

Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.4%

Will Bill Cosby be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.7%

Will Noam Chomsky be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.0%

Will Michael Jackson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.3%

Will Deepak Chopra be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.3%

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.4%

Jimmy Lai released by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.6%

DOJ reopens Powell investigation by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.0%

Will Kanye West visit the UK by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.8%

Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.9%

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +5.3%

Will Qatar recognize Israel by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.9%

Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.1%

Peru General Election invalidated by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.9%

Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.7%

Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.7%

Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.4%

Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.1%

Will Cuba recognize Israel by June 30 ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.0%

Will Venezuela recognize Israel by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.5%

Will Syria recognize Israel by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.2%

Fetterman leaves the Democrats by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.3%

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $50 on the final trading day of June 2026? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +1.6%

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.8%

Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.7%

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $52 on the final trading day of June 2026? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +2.7%

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.1%

Bill Clinton divorce by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.1%

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $56 on the final trading day of June 2026? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +2.8%

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.8%

Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.3%

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.4%

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.2%

NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.1%

Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +8.6%

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.5%

Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.6%

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.8%

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.0%

Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.3%

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.9%

Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.5%

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.8%

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.9%

Ukraine coup attempt by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.7%

Will Xi meet with Takaichi by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.0%

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.3%

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +10.4%

Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.7%

Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.3%

Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.3%

Anthropic CEO arrested? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.0%

Will Marco Rubio enter Iran by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.5%

Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.6%

Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.6%

Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.7%

Chirayu Rana divorced? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.7%

Will Russia enter Sumy by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.5%

Bill Gates charged by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.6%

Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +6.0%

Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.3%

Hantavirus outbreak by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.0%

McDonald's CEO out by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.4%

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.4%

Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.6%

Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.8%

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +11.7%

Iran coup attempt by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +11.7%

Iran leadership change by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.6%

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.6%

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.0%

EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.0%

MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.1%

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.4%

Will Nansen launch a token by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.7%

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.0%

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.7%

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.3%

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +11.1%

Will Loopscale launch a token by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

ABSURD +10.5%

Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +16.3%

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +16.3%

Will Silver (SI) settle over $100 on the final trading day of June 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +17.0%

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING Wrong

Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026? ↗

Our Call: Yes

ABSURD +4.6%

Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

ABSURD +7.5%

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.2%

Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.6%

Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +20.3%

Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.5%

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.7%

Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +5.7%

Will Mark Baisley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Colorado? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +4.8%

Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +21.2%

Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +10.3%

Will Databricks not IPO by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +16.4%

Will Freddie Mac not IPO by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +4.0%

Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +5.3%

Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +7.0%

Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +7.9%

Will Meta have a #1 AI model by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +11.7%

Will the RSF capture Khartoum by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +5.7%

Russian strike on Poland by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +5.8%

Will Harvey Weinstein be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.8%

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +6.8%

Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +15.6%

Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING Wrong

Will Silver (SI) settle over $60 on the final trading day of June 2026? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +25.9%

Will Waymo launch in London by June 30 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +6.4%

Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +29.0%

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +5.4%

Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +5.5%

Will Russia enter Kherson by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +9.8%

Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

5050_TRAP +15.3%

Will Daylight launch a token by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +19.8%

Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +29.8%

Will Gold (GC) settle over $6,200 on the final trading day of June 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +66.7%

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +40.8%

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +10.2%

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $56-$63 in June? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.7%

Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +18.0%

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +5.3%

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +9.3%

Trump out as President by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +17.0%

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +36.1%

Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING Wrong

Will Waymo launch in Denver by June 30 2026? ↗

Our Call: Yes

5050_TRAP Wrong

No one announced as next James Bond? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +10.5%

Will Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +25.8%

Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.9%

Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +2.6%

Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +11.7%

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (LOW) in June? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.7%

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +2.8%

Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +2.6%

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $345 end of June? ↗

Our Call: Yes

ABSURD +2.0%

Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $168 in June? ↗

Our Call: No

ABSURD +11.1%

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in June? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.3%

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

ABSURD +3.2%

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June? ↗

Our Call: No

ABSURD +3.3%

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +8.7%

Will Google (GOOGL) close above $330 end of June? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +3.0%

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in June? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +6.2%

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $84 in June? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +6.2%

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in June? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +5.7%

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in June? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +13.0%

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in June? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +7.0%

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +4.5%

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +7.0%

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

ABSURD +2.7%

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in June? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +5.0%

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.7%

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +6.4%

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +115.1%

Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +4.7%

Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +1.7%

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +6.3%

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +6.8%

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +7.1%

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.2%

Will Pamela Evette win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary by less than 5%? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING Wrong

Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.0%

Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 5–10%? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +8.5%

Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.4%

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING Wrong

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING Wrong

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

ABSURD Wrong

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +14.3%

Will Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.9%

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by May 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.4%

Will Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win fewer than 21 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING Wrong

Starmer out by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +6.5%

Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING Wrong

Will any xAI Grok model score at least 30% on the FrontierMath Exam? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING Wrong

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING Wrong

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +138.1%

Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +1.7%

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 26? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +8.7%

Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +2.6%

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +14.2%

Will Alex Pelbath be the Republican Nominee for SC-01? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.2%

Will Ritchie Torres be the Democratic nominee for NY-15? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +3.7%

Will Larry Hogan win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.9%

Will Steve Hershey win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +18.3%

Will Nicholas Sciretta be the Democratic nominee for NY-04? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +36.1%

Will Laura Gillen be the Democratic nominee for NY-04? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +65.6%

Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.7%

Will Christopher Bouchat win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.7%

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +8.1%

Will Bruce Blakeman win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +9.7%

Will Renovación Popular (RP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.4%

Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 19, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +9.3%

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.9%

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +9.3%

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.7%

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.7%

Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +9.9%

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.3%

No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after June 2026 meeting? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING Wrong

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +102.0%

Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2026 meeting? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.4%

Will Matt Pinnell be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oklahoma? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.9%

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.7%

Will Kyle Sweetser be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.4%

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.6%

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +4.5%

Will Kevin Hern be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oklahoma? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +7.0%

Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +13.0%

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +17.6%

Will Brad Raffensperger win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.0%

Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +2.9%

Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 15? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.2%

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.1%

Will Trevor Merrell advance from the CA-04 primary election? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.0%

GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +7.5%

Another GTA VI trailer released by June 15? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.6%

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +8.0%

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.1%

Israeli parliament dissolved by June 15? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +5.8%

Starmer out by June 15, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +5.9%

Will "Backrooms" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +2.3%

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 14, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +7.4%

Israeli forces enter Tyre by June 7? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.2%

Israel closes its airspace by June 13? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.9%

Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +46.0%

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +9.9%

Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 12, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

ABSURD +3.5%

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on June 12? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.2%

Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 25% and 30%? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +1.4%

Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,200,000 and 1,500,000 voters? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING Wrong

Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +13.6%

Will John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.6%

Will Iran close its airspace by June 10? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +6.1%

Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +8.1%

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +19.8%

Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.3%

Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the June meeting? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +3.2%

Will Ritesh Tandon advance from the CA-17 primary? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +1.2%

Will Saikat Chakrabarti receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.8%

Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.7%

Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +3.0%

Will Ro Khanna advance from the CA-17 primary? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +5.9%

Will Kyle Langford advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.7%

Will Nicholas Thompson advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.4%

Will Sophia Brink advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? ↗

Our Call: No

MISLEADING +5.2%

Will Kyle Freeman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in North Carolina? ↗

Our Call: No

ABSURD +3.1%

Will Nicki Minaj advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +10.5%

Will Paul LePage be the Republican Nominee for ME-02? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +29.0%

Will Ha Phan advance from the CA-17 primary? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +10.3%

Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 8? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +20.5%

Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.6%

Will Solana dip to $60 June 1-7? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.6%

Will "Scary Movie" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.2%

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +10.5%

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +7.2%

Will Partido Popular (PP) win 53-55 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +7.2%

Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by between 50% and 60%? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +36.1%

Will The Left (Levica) be part of the next Government of Slovenia? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.6%

Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING Wrong

Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in May? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +14.9%

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +29.0%

Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in May? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +17.0%

Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +14.3%

Will Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +1.9%

Will Trump speak to Reza Pahlavi in May? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.6%

Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in May? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.4%

Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in May? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.6%

Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in May? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +8.1%

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.6%

Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +2.8%

Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in May? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +6.4%

Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +13.1%

Services Down Parlay ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.7%

Will Billy Mawhiney be the Democratic Nominee for SD-AL? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +13.6%

Nothing Ever Happens: May ↗

Our Call: Nothing

MISPRICING +2.6%

Will Rob Sand win the 2026 Iowa Governor Democratic primary election? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +6.9%

Will Cory Booker be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Jersey? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +4.1%

Will Ashley Hinson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Iowa? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +8.1%

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by May 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +5.8%

Will gas hit (High) $4.70 by May 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +9.9%

Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by May 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +5.8%

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.6%

Will a hurricane form by May 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.5%

Named storm forms before hurricane season? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING Wrong

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING Wrong

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +5.3%

Will Claude go down 12+ times in May? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.5%

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.9%

Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.2%

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.1%

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 31? ↗

Our Call: No

ABSURD +4.4%

Will Russia enter Stinky by May 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +11.1%

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

ABSURD +20.5%

Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by May 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.5%

Epstein suicide note released by May 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +13.6%

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.7%

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by May 31, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.4%

Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.1%

Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.3%

Labour leadership election scheduled by May 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.8%

Kash Patel out by May 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +5.5%

Will Russia capture Pokrovka by May 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +5.8%

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.6%

Ruben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.3%

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +7.0%

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.3%

Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.6%

Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by May 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.9%

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.1%

Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.8%

Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.8%

Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.9%

Starmer out by May 31, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.8%

Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.7%

Will Russia enter Myrne by May 31, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +22.0%

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $690b on May 31? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +12.4%

Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.6%

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by May 31? ↗

Our Call: No

ABSURD +1.7%

Will Comey smile in his mugshot? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +7.1%

Will Qatar send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.3%

Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.3%

US bank failure by May 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.5%

GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +12.4%

Israel closes its airspace by May 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +19.8%

Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +5.5%

Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.7%

Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.6%

Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by May 31, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.5%

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +5.8%

Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +5.8%

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +7.5%

Evo Morales arrested by May 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.8%

Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.9%

Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.7%

Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by May 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.6%

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.5%

Will Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +6.4%

Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by May 31, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.1%

Will Russia capture Sofiivka by May 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +6.8%

Will Russia capture Myropillia by May 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +6.4%

Will Russia enter Khatnie by May 31, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.8%

Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +11.9%

Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by May 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +6.5%

Will Russia enter Svitle by May 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +9.1%

Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +14.3%

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.3%

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.8%

Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in May? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.5%

Will Russia enter Dobropillia by May 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +11.4%

Cory Mills out as US Rep by May 31? ↗

Our Call: No

ABSURD +10.5%

Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.3%

Will Bahrain send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.5%

Will Kuwait send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.8%

Will Saudi Arabia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.3%

Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.5%

Will Oman send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.8%

Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.6%

Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.1%

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.2%

Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by May 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.7%

Will the United Arab Emirates send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.2%

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.5%

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +6.3%

Will Russia capture Toretske by May 31, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.9%

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +11.7%

Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by May 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +11.7%

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +15.6%

Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by May 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +13.6%

Will Russia enter Borova by May 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.5%

Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.5%

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.9%

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +6.4%

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by May 31, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.3%

Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +5.5%

Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in May 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +6.4%

Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in May 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +6.0%

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +7.5%

Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +12.6%

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by May 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +8.1%

Iran leadership change by May 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +12.4%

Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +13.0%

US x China tariff agreement by May 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +14.3%

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +16.3%

Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +8.1%

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31? ↗

Our Call: No

ABSURD +2.4%

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? ↗

Our Call: No

ABSURD +2.9%

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +9.3%

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +5.7%

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +61.3%

Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +5.2%

Iran closes its airspace by May 27? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +5.4%

Will Labour Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +1.1%

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in May? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.7%

Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.1%

Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 in May? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.2%

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.0%

Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 in May? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +8.1%

Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +1.9%

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +44.9%

Pooh Shiesty charged by May 31? ↗

Our Call: Yes

5050_TRAP +46.0%

Nothing Ever Happens: March ↗

Our Call: Nothing

MISPRICING +1.2%

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in May? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING Wrong

Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

ABSURD Wrong

Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +40.8%

Will Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +3.4%

Will Gregor Heise be the Republican Nominee for TX-30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.7%

Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +2.9%

Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +8.1%

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +17.0%

Israel closes its airspace by May 24? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +9.9%

Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.8%

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.2%

Will Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +5.3%

Will Trump announce the release of detained Americans? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING Wrong

Major US official out by May 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +7.6%

Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 31 2026? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +1.6%

Iran closes its airspace by May 21? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING Wrong

Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.3%

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +2.7%

Will Stephen Heidt win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +18.3%

Will Amy McGrath be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.2%

Will Jim Risch be the Republican nominee for Senate in Idaho? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +8.1%

Will Tommy Tuberville win the 2026 Alabama Governor Republican primary election? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +53.8%

Did a crypto hedge fund blow up? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING Wrong

Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +169.2%

Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +18.3%

Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%? ↗

Our Call: Yes

ARBITRAGE +39.9%

Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.5%

Starmer out by May 15, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +21.2%

Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 15 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.4%

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +12.5%

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +10.3%

Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +3.1%

Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +13.3%

Cerebras IPO before 2027? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +3.1%

Will Analilia Mejia win the NJ-11 Special Election by less than 20%Analilia Mejia ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +8.1%

Will 49 or fewer senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +57.5%

Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +65.3%

Will Trump visit China by May 15? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING Wrong

Will Thom Tillis vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +13.1%

Will Elizabeth Warren vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.5%

Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15? ↗

Our Call: No

ARBITRAGE +18.3%

Will Zachary Shrewsbury be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia? ↗

Our Call: No

5050_TRAP +22.0%

Will Trump visit China by May 31? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +6.4%

Will Brinker Harding be the Republican nominee for NE-02? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING Wrong

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +50.4%

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING Wrong

Will April 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +12.4%

Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING Wrong

Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +6.5%

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +9.6%

Will Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +4.3%

Will Amelia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +24.2%

Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +12.9%

Trump's mail-in voting executive order blocked in April? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.3%

Will US crude oil reserves fall to 200M by May 1? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +6.4%

Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +8.1%

Will Zendaya wear a wedding or engagement ring at the Met Gala? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +37.0%

Will Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +9.3%

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING Wrong

Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +5.3%

AWS service disrupted by April 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.7%

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 2026? ↗

Our Call: Up

MISPRICING +5.3%

Will Nate and Cassie marry in Euphoria: Season 3? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +41.8%

Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +17.6%

Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING Wrong

Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +19.8%

Will Kim Kardashian pass the bar exam by May 3? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.2%

Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.00 (LOW) by April 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +52.3%

Will Pacto Histórico win 24-26 seats in the Colombian Senate in the 2026 Colombian parliamentary election? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +7.5%

Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +23.5%

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +135.3%

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +8.3%

Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in April 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +15.6%

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $670b on April 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.1%

Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by April 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.2%

Internet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.1%

Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.1%

Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.9%

Will Trump disparage Pope Leo XIV by April 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.7%

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +8.8%

Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING Wrong

Will President Trump sign 4 pieces of legislation into law in April? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +5.8%

Israel military action on Damascus by April 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.1%

Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.2%

Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.1%

Will Bad Bunny have a #1 hit in April? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.1%

Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.2%

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $360 end of April? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +3.8%

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.1%

Trump ballroom project unblocked by April 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.9%

Houthis successfully target shipping by April 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +11.1%

Kash Patel out by April 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING Wrong

Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING Wrong

Will SpaceX have exactly 12 launches in April? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.1%

Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +58.7%

Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.2%

Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by April 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.2%

Will Marco Rubio visit China by April 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.8%

Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by April 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.6%

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.2%

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in April? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +12.4%

Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $3.00 end of April? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +13.0%

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.9%

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.1%

Will Russia capture Havrylivka by April 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.7%

Masoud Pezeshkian out by April 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +5.4%

Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +7.2%

Will SpaceX have exactly 16 launches in April? ↗

Our Call: No

MISLEADING +3.7%

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.5%

Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by April 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +9.7%

Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster? ↗

Our Call: No

5050_TRAP +5.4%

Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in April 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +7.5%

U.S. Congress member out over Epstein files by April 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +43.9%

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.3%

KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.6%

Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING Wrong

Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +24.2%

Will SpaceX have less than or equal to 11 launches in April? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +10.4%

Will Apple dip to $216 in April? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +14.9%

Will Meta have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING Wrong

Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +25.0%

Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +27.4%

Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +13.0%

Will NVIDIA dip to $160 in April? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +30.7%

Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

ARBITRAGE +14.2%

Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 1.0%? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.5%

Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +2.4%

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +4.3%

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING Wrong

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING Wrong

Will MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by April 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.6%

Trump re-sues WSJ by April 27? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +17.8%

Will PLC win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING Wrong

DeepSeek V4 released by April 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING Wrong

GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.0%

Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.0%

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 21? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.3%

Will the DHS shutdown end between April 17-20, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +15.6%

Octra FDV above $200M one day after launch? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING Wrong

Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.4%

Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING Wrong

Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 6, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.3%

Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +20.5%

Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +7.2%

Will Waymo launch in Miami by June 30 2026? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +3.7%

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.1%

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 14? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING Wrong

Will Starmer say "U-Turn" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +27.4%

Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 31, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +7.5%

Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING Wrong

Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISLEADING +11.1%

Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING Wrong

Military action against Iran ends by May 31, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.1%

Will Justin Bieber drop out as a Coachella 2026 Headliner? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +40.4%

Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 56%? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +77.1%

Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 59% and 60%? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.7%

Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the April Meeting? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +21.2%

Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 55%? ↗

Our Call: No

5050_TRAP +20.0%

Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 58% and 59%? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +190.3%

Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING Wrong

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in March? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +11.4%

Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in March 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

5050_TRAP Wrong

US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING Wrong

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +25.8%

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING Wrong

Clavicular charged again by June 30? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +24.2%

Over $60M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +92.3%

Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING Wrong

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 21, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +93.1%

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING Wrong

Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be between 65% and 70%? ↗

Our Call: Yes

5050_TRAP +4.0%

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.8%

Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win 25-29 seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING Wrong

Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be between 70% and 75%? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.0%

Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +5.7%

Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +149.7%

Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in March? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING Wrong

Will SpaceX file for an IPO by April 3, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +38.2%

Will Iran strike the United Kingdom by March 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING Wrong

Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by March 31? ↗

Our Call: Yes

ARBITRAGE +41.8%

Will the March 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +9.9%

Will the maximum Arctic sea ice extent this winter be between 14.2m & 14.4m square kilometers? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +41.8%

Will Iran strike Bahrain again in March? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +3.4%

Will the March 2026 unemployment rate be ≤3.9%? ↗

Our Call: No

5050_TRAP +7.0%

Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 29, 2026? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +5.7%

Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by March 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +11.1%

Will USD fall to 1.4M Iranian rials by March 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +8.1%

Will the KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) close above 4750 on the final trading day of Q1 2026? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +2.8%

Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 29, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

5050_TRAP Correct

Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in March? ↗

Our Call: No

5050_TRAP Correct

Will Rami leave Babymonster? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.5%

Will John Fetterman vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +5.3%

Iran leadership change by March 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.3%

Another GTA VI trailer released by March 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.8%

Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +11.7%

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

5050_TRAP Correct

Robinhood launches prediction market through MIAXdx by March 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.7%

Will Apple release a new version of the Apple TV by March 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.8%

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by March 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +13.0%

Avatar 4 greenlit by March 31? ↗

Our Call: No

5050_TRAP Correct

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31? ↗

Our Call: No

5050_TRAP Correct

Will Russia enter Serhiivka by March 31? ↗

Our Call: No

5050_TRAP Correct

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.5%

Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in March? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +4.7%

Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING Wrong

Will Iran strike Dimona by March 31? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +2.3%

Will another country recognize Somaliland by March 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.8%

Will gas hit (Low) $3.15 by March 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.6%

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +5.8%

Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +10.5%

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? ↗

Our Call: No

5050_TRAP Correct

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.3%

Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in March? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +6.1%

Claude 4.7 released by March 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +6.4%

Will Russia capture Bilytske by March 31, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +19.0%

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? ↗

Our Call: No

5050_TRAP Correct

Will India strike Pakistan by March 31? ↗

Our Call: No

5050_TRAP Correct

NATO Article 5 by March 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.6%

Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +7.1%

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $710b on March 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISLEADING +9.3%

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +40.6%

Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026? ↗

Our Call: Yes

5050_TRAP Correct

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.2%

Will Oro launch a token by March 31, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.1%

Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in March? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.8%

Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by March 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.4%

Nothing Ever Happens: Ilhan Omar ↗

Our Call: Nothing

MISPRICING +2.9%

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by March 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.4%

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +7.6%

Will Bernie Sanders vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +11.7%

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +22.0%

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +6.3%

Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +6.5%

Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by March 31, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.6%

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +22.4%

Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $4.00 end of March? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +13.0%

Will gas hit (High) $4.00 by March 31? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +2.1%

Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $180 end of March? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +7.5%

Will Meta (META) close above $560 end of March? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +17.0%

Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on March 31? ↗

Our Call: No

5050_TRAP Wrong

Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

5050_TRAP Correct

Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026? ↗

Our Call: Yes

5050_TRAP Correct

Trump cabinet member out by March 31, 2026? ↗

Our Call: Yes

5050_TRAP Correct

Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +13.0%

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 24, 2026? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +16.3%

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of March? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING Wrong

Will Trump say "Easter" in March? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +11.6%

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 20, 2026? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING Wrong

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,400 (LOW) in March 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

5050_TRAP Correct

Will Iran strike Iraq again in March? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +8.8%

Will Heather McPherson win the Canadian NDP Leadership election? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +18.3%

Will Trump say "Rigged" or "Stolen" this week? (March 29) ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING Wrong

Will "Oil" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29) ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +2.1%

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on March 26? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +58.7%

Will Mexico’s February unemployment rate be less than or equal to 2.4%? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.2%

Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 24, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.7%

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.4%

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 24? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +3.8%

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on March 23? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +7.5%

Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 80m? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING Wrong

Will "Ready or Not 2: Here I Come" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8.5m and 10m? ↗

Our Call: No

5050_TRAP Correct

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (March 22) ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +9.3%

Will XRP dip to $1.40 March 16-22? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +2.2%

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 22? ↗

Our Call: Yes

MISPRICING +3.5%

Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 19, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

5050_TRAP Correct

Will turnout in the first round of the Texas Republican Senate primary be between 2,200,000 and 2,400,000 voters? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +2.7%

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING Wrong

Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 6.00% and 6.50%? ↗

Our Call: No

5050_TRAP Correct

Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 9, 2026? ↗

Our Call: No

MISPRICING +124.7%

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026? ↗

Our Call: Yes

97.1%

33

+63%

34

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Track Record

97.1%

33

+63%

34

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