历史战绩

MISPRICING +8.1%

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by May 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +5.8%

Will gas hit (High) $4.70 by May 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +9.9%

Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by May 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +5.8%

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +1.6%

Will a hurricane form by May 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +2.5%

Named storm forms before hurricane season? ↗

: No

MISPRICING Wrong

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING Wrong

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +5.3%

Will Claude go down 12+ times in May? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +2.5%

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +3.9%

Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +1.2%

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +3.1%

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 31? ↗

: No

ABSURD +4.4%

Will Russia enter Stinky by May 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +11.1%

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026? ↗

: No

ABSURD +20.5%

Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by May 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +1.5%

Epstein suicide note released by May 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +13.6%

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +2.7%

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by May 31, 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +1.4%

Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +3.1%

Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +2.3%

Labour leadership election scheduled by May 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +2.8%

Kash Patel out by May 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +5.5%

Will Russia capture Pokrovka by May 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +5.8%

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +1.6%

Ruben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +4.3%

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +7.0%

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +1.3%

Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +2.6%

Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by May 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +1.9%

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +2.1%

Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +2.8%

Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +2.8%

Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +2.9%

Starmer out by May 31, 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +3.8%

Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +4.7%

Will Russia enter Myrne by May 31, 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +22.0%

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $690b on May 31? ↗

: Yes

MISPRICING +12.4%

Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +1.6%

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by May 31? ↗

: No

ABSURD +1.7%

Will Comey smile in his mugshot? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +7.1%

Will Qatar send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +3.3%

Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +2.3%

US bank failure by May 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +4.5%

GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +12.4%

Israel closes its airspace by May 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +19.8%

Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +5.5%

Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +1.7%

Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +2.6%

Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by May 31, 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +3.5%

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +5.8%

Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +5.8%

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +7.5%

Evo Morales arrested by May 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +1.8%

Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +1.9%

Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +2.7%

Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by May 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +3.6%

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +2.5%

Will Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +6.4%

Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by May 31, 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +4.1%

Will Russia capture Sofiivka by May 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +6.8%

Will Russia capture Myropillia by May 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +6.4%

Will Russia enter Khatnie by May 31, 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +4.8%

Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +11.9%

Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by May 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +6.5%

Will Russia enter Svitle by May 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +9.1%

Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +14.3%

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +1.3%

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +1.8%

Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in May? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +2.5%

Will Russia enter Dobropillia by May 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +11.4%

Cory Mills out as US Rep by May 31? ↗

: No

ABSURD +10.5%

Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +1.3%

Will Bahrain send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +1.5%

Will Kuwait send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +1.8%

Will Saudi Arabia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +1.3%

Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +1.5%

Will Oman send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +1.8%

Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +2.6%

Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +3.1%

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +3.2%

Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by May 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +4.7%

Will the United Arab Emirates send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +4.2%

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +4.5%

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +6.3%

Will Russia capture Toretske by May 31, 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +4.9%

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +11.7%

Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by May 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +11.7%

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +15.6%

Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by May 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +13.6%

Will Russia enter Borova by May 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +1.5%

Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +1.5%

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +1.9%

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +6.4%

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by May 31, 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +3.3%

Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +5.5%

Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in May 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +6.4%

Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in May 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +6.0%

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +7.5%

Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +12.6%

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by May 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +8.1%

Iran leadership change by May 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +12.4%

Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +13.0%

US x China tariff agreement by May 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +14.3%

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +16.3%

Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +8.1%

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31? ↗

: No

ABSURD +2.4%

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? ↗

: No

ABSURD +2.9%

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +9.3%

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +5.7%

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +61.3%

Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +5.2%

Iran closes its airspace by May 27? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +5.4%

Will Labour Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election? ↗

: Yes

MISPRICING +1.1%

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in May? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +1.7%

Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +1.1%

Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 in May? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +1.2%

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +4.0%

Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 in May? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +8.1%

Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +1.9%

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +44.9%

Pooh Shiesty charged by May 31? ↗

: Yes

5050_TRAP +46.0%

Nothing Ever Happens: March ↗

: Nothing

MISPRICING +1.2%

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in May? ↗

: No

MISPRICING Wrong

Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026? ↗

: No

ABSURD Wrong

Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +40.8%

Will Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027? ↗

: Yes

MISPRICING +3.4%

Will Gregor Heise be the Republican Nominee for TX-30? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +3.7%

Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision? ↗

: Yes

MISPRICING +2.9%

Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election? ↗

: Yes

MISPRICING +8.1%

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +17.0%

Israel closes its airspace by May 24? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +9.9%

Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +2.8%

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +4.2%

Will Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +5.3%

Will Trump announce the release of detained Americans? ↗

: No

MISPRICING Wrong

Major US official out by May 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +7.6%

Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 31 2026? ↗

: Yes

MISPRICING +1.6%

Iran closes its airspace by May 21? ↗

: No

MISPRICING Wrong

Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +4.3%

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026? ↗

: Yes

MISPRICING +2.7%

Will Stephen Heidt win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +18.3%

Will Amy McGrath be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +4.2%

Will Jim Risch be the Republican nominee for Senate in Idaho? ↗

: Yes

MISPRICING +8.1%

Will Tommy Tuberville win the 2026 Alabama Governor Republican primary election? ↗

: Yes

MISPRICING +53.8%

Did a crypto hedge fund blow up? ↗

: No

MISPRICING Wrong

Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026? ↗

: Yes

MISPRICING +169.2%

Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +18.3%

Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%? ↗

: Yes

ARBITRAGE +39.9%

Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +4.5%

Starmer out by May 15, 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +21.2%

Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 15 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +2.4%

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +12.5%

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026? ↗

: Yes

MISPRICING +10.3%

Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026? ↗

: Yes

MISPRICING +3.1%

Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +13.3%

Cerebras IPO before 2027? ↗

: Yes

MISPRICING +3.1%

Will Analilia Mejia win the NJ-11 Special Election by less than 20%Analilia Mejia ↗

: No

MISPRICING +8.1%

Will 49 or fewer senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +57.5%

Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +65.3%

Will Trump visit China by May 15? ↗

: Yes

MISPRICING Wrong

Will Thom Tillis vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +13.1%

Will Elizabeth Warren vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +3.5%

Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15? ↗

: No

ARBITRAGE +18.3%

Will Zachary Shrewsbury be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia? ↗

: No

5050_TRAP +22.0%

Will Trump visit China by May 31? ↗

: Yes

MISPRICING +6.4%

Will Brinker Harding be the Republican nominee for NE-02? ↗

: Yes

MISPRICING Wrong

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +50.4%

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? ↗

: No

MISPRICING Wrong

Will April 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record? ↗

: Yes

MISPRICING +12.4%

Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING Wrong

Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +6.5%

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +9.6%

Will Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections? ↗

: Yes

MISPRICING +4.3%

Will Amelia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +24.2%

Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election? ↗

: Yes

MISPRICING +12.9%

Trump's mail-in voting executive order blocked in April? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +2.3%

Will US crude oil reserves fall to 200M by May 1? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +6.4%

Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election? ↗

: Yes

MISPRICING +8.1%

Will Zendaya wear a wedding or engagement ring at the Met Gala? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +37.0%

Will Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +9.3%

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30? ↗

: No

MISPRICING Wrong

Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +5.3%

AWS service disrupted by April 30? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +3.7%

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 2026? ↗

: Up

MISPRICING +5.3%

Will Nate and Cassie marry in Euphoria: Season 3? ↗

: Yes

MISPRICING +41.8%

Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +17.6%

Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING Wrong

Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +19.8%

Will Kim Kardashian pass the bar exam by May 3? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +2.2%

Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.00 (LOW) by April 30, 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +52.3%

Will Pacto Histórico win 24-26 seats in the Colombian Senate in the 2026 Colombian parliamentary election? ↗

: Yes

MISPRICING +7.5%

Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +23.5%

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +135.3%

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? ↗

: Yes

MISPRICING +8.3%

Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in April 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +15.6%

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $670b on April 30? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +2.1%

Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by April 30? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +2.2%

Internet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +2.1%

Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +2.1%

Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +4.9%

Will Trump disparage Pope Leo XIV by April 30? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +4.7%

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +8.8%

Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30? ↗

: No

MISPRICING Wrong

Will President Trump sign 4 pieces of legislation into law in April? ↗

: Yes

MISPRICING +5.8%

Israel military action on Damascus by April 30, 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +2.1%

Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +2.2%

Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +3.1%

Will Bad Bunny have a #1 hit in April? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +3.1%

Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +3.2%

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $360 end of April? ↗

: Yes

MISPRICING +3.8%

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +4.1%

Trump ballroom project unblocked by April 30? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +4.9%

Houthis successfully target shipping by April 30? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +11.1%

Kash Patel out by April 30? ↗

: No

MISPRICING Wrong

Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026? ↗

: Yes

MISPRICING Wrong

Will SpaceX have exactly 12 launches in April? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +2.1%

Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +58.7%

Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +4.2%

Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by April 30? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +2.2%

Will Marco Rubio visit China by April 30, 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +2.8%

Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by April 30? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +3.6%

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +2.2%

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in April? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +12.4%

Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $3.00 end of April? ↗

: Yes

MISPRICING +13.0%

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +2.9%

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +3.1%

Will Russia capture Havrylivka by April 30, 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +4.7%

Masoud Pezeshkian out by April 30? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +5.4%

Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +7.2%

Will SpaceX have exactly 16 launches in April? ↗

: No

MISLEADING +3.7%

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +3.5%

Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by April 30? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +9.7%

Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster? ↗

: No

5050_TRAP +5.4%

Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in April 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +7.5%

U.S. Congress member out over Epstein files by April 30? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +43.9%

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +3.3%

KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +2.6%

Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026? ↗

: Yes

MISPRICING Wrong

Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026? ↗

: Yes

MISPRICING +24.2%

Will SpaceX have less than or equal to 11 launches in April? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +10.4%

Will Apple dip to $216 in April? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +14.9%

Will Meta have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)? ↗

: No

MISPRICING Wrong

Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +25.0%

Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)? ↗

: Yes

MISPRICING +27.4%

Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)? ↗

: Yes

MISPRICING +13.0%

Will NVIDIA dip to $160 in April? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +30.7%

Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026? ↗

: No

ARBITRAGE +14.2%

Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 1.0%? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +2.5%

Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference? ↗

: Yes

MISPRICING +2.4%

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)? ↗

: Yes

MISPRICING +4.3%

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? ↗

: No

MISPRICING Wrong

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April? ↗

: No

MISPRICING Wrong

Will MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by April 30? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +2.6%

Trump re-sues WSJ by April 27? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +17.8%

Will PLC win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election? ↗

: Yes

MISPRICING Wrong

DeepSeek V4 released by April 30? ↗

: No

MISPRICING Wrong

GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +3.0%

Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +2.0%

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 21? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +3.3%

Will the DHS shutdown end between April 17-20, 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +15.6%

Octra FDV above $200M one day after launch? ↗

: No

MISPRICING Wrong

Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +4.4%

Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? ↗

: Yes

MISPRICING Wrong

Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 6, 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +3.3%

Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? ↗

: Yes

MISPRICING +20.5%

Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +7.2%

Will Waymo launch in Miami by June 30 2026? ↗

: Yes

MISPRICING +3.7%

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +2.1%

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 14? ↗

: No

MISPRICING Wrong

Will Starmer say "U-Turn" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +27.4%

Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 31, 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +7.5%

Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more? ↗

: Yes

MISPRICING Wrong

Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026? ↗

: No

MISLEADING +11.1%

Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026? ↗

: Yes

MISPRICING Wrong

Military action against Iran ends by May 31, 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +3.1%

Will Justin Bieber drop out as a Coachella 2026 Headliner? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +40.4%

Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 56%? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +77.1%

Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 59% and 60%? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +4.7%

Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the April Meeting? ↗

: Yes

MISPRICING +21.2%

Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 55%? ↗

: No

5050_TRAP +20.0%

Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 58% and 59%? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +190.3%

Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March? ↗

: No

MISPRICING Wrong

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in March? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +11.4%

Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in March 2026? ↗

: No

5050_TRAP Wrong

US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China? ↗

: No

MISPRICING Wrong

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +25.8%

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April? ↗

: Yes

MISPRICING Wrong

Clavicular charged again by June 30? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +24.2%

Over $60M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +92.3%

Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? ↗

: No

MISPRICING Wrong

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 21, 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +93.1%

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m? ↗

: No

MISPRICING Wrong

Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be between 65% and 70%? ↗

: Yes

5050_TRAP +4.0%

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +3.8%

Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win 25-29 seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election? ↗

: Yes

MISPRICING Wrong

Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be between 70% and 75%? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +4.0%

Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +5.7%

Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +149.7%

Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in March? ↗

: Yes

MISPRICING Wrong

Will SpaceX file for an IPO by April 3, 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +38.2%

Will Iran strike the United Kingdom by March 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING Wrong

Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by March 31? ↗

: Yes

ARBITRAGE +41.8%

Will the March 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +9.9%

Will the maximum Arctic sea ice extent this winter be between 14.2m & 14.4m square kilometers? ↗

: Yes

MISPRICING +41.8%

Will Iran strike Bahrain again in March? ↗

: Yes

MISPRICING +3.4%

Will the March 2026 unemployment rate be ≤3.9%? ↗

: No

5050_TRAP +7.0%

Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 29, 2026? ↗

: Yes

MISPRICING +5.7%

Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by March 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +11.1%

Will USD fall to 1.4M Iranian rials by March 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +8.1%

Will the KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) close above 4750 on the final trading day of Q1 2026? ↗

: Yes

MISPRICING +2.8%

Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 29, 2026? ↗

: No

5050_TRAP Correct

Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in March? ↗

: No

5050_TRAP Correct

Will Rami leave Babymonster? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +3.5%

Will John Fetterman vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +5.3%

Iran leadership change by March 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +2.3%

Another GTA VI trailer released by March 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +4.8%

Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +11.7%

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026? ↗

: No

5050_TRAP Correct

Robinhood launches prediction market through MIAXdx by March 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +2.7%

Will Apple release a new version of the Apple TV by March 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +2.8%

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by March 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +13.0%

Avatar 4 greenlit by March 31? ↗

: No

5050_TRAP Correct

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31? ↗

: No

5050_TRAP Correct

Will Russia enter Serhiivka by March 31? ↗

: No

5050_TRAP Correct

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +2.5%

Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in March? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +4.7%

Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING Wrong

Will Iran strike Dimona by March 31? ↗

: Yes

MISPRICING +2.3%

Will another country recognize Somaliland by March 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +2.8%

Will gas hit (Low) $3.15 by March 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +3.6%

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +5.8%

Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +10.5%

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? ↗

: No

5050_TRAP Correct

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +2.3%

Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in March? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +6.1%

Claude 4.7 released by March 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +6.4%

Will Russia capture Bilytske by March 31, 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +19.0%

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? ↗

: No

5050_TRAP Correct

Will India strike Pakistan by March 31? ↗

: No

5050_TRAP Correct

NATO Article 5 by March 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +2.6%

Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +7.1%

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $710b on March 31? ↗

: No

MISLEADING +9.3%

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +40.6%

Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026? ↗

: Yes

5050_TRAP Correct

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +2.2%

Will Oro launch a token by March 31, 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +3.1%

Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in March? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +3.8%

Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by March 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +2.4%

Nothing Ever Happens: Ilhan Omar ↗

: Nothing

MISPRICING +2.9%

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by March 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +3.4%

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +7.6%

Will Bernie Sanders vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +11.7%

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +22.0%

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +6.3%

Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +6.5%

Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by March 31, 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +3.6%

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +22.4%

Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $4.00 end of March? ↗

: Yes

MISPRICING +13.0%

Will gas hit (High) $4.00 by March 31? ↗

: Yes

MISPRICING +2.1%

Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $180 end of March? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +7.5%

Will Meta (META) close above $560 end of March? ↗

: Yes

MISPRICING +17.0%

Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on March 31? ↗

: No

5050_TRAP Wrong

Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026? ↗

: No

5050_TRAP Correct

Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026? ↗

: Yes

5050_TRAP Correct

Trump cabinet member out by March 31, 2026? ↗

: Yes

5050_TRAP Correct

Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +13.0%

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 24, 2026? ↗

: Yes

MISPRICING +16.3%

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of March? ↗

: Yes

MISPRICING Wrong

Will Trump say "Easter" in March? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +11.6%

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 20, 2026? ↗

: Yes

MISPRICING Wrong

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,400 (LOW) in March 2026? ↗

: No

5050_TRAP Correct

Will Iran strike Iraq again in March? ↗

: Yes

MISPRICING +8.8%

Will Heather McPherson win the Canadian NDP Leadership election? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +18.3%

Will Trump say "Rigged" or "Stolen" this week? (March 29) ↗

: Yes

MISPRICING Wrong

Will "Oil" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29) ↗

: Yes

MISPRICING +2.1%

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on March 26? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +58.7%

Will Mexico’s February unemployment rate be less than or equal to 2.4%? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +2.2%

Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 24, 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +2.7%

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +3.4%

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 24? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +3.8%

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on March 23? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +7.5%

Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 80m? ↗

: No

MISPRICING Wrong

Will "Ready or Not 2: Here I Come" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8.5m and 10m? ↗

: No

5050_TRAP Correct

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (March 22) ↗

: No

MISPRICING +9.3%

Will XRP dip to $1.40 March 16-22? ↗

: Yes

MISPRICING +2.2%

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 22? ↗

: Yes

MISPRICING +3.5%

Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 19, 2026? ↗

: No

5050_TRAP Correct

Will turnout in the first round of the Texas Republican Senate primary be between 2,200,000 and 2,400,000 voters? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +2.7%

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING Wrong

Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 6.00% and 6.50%? ↗

: No

5050_TRAP Correct

Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 9, 2026? ↗

: No

MISPRICING +124.7%

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026? ↗

: Yes

93.2%

177

+110%

190

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历史战绩

93.2%

177

+110%

190