Devam etmek için giriş yapın

veya

Performans Geçmişi

93.2%

Kazanma Oranı

177

Doğru Tahmin

+110%

Ort. Aylık Getiri

190

Bugünün açık seçimlerini gör
MISPRICING +8.1%
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by May 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +5.8%
Will gas hit (High) $4.70 by May 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +9.9%
Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by May 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +5.8%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +1.6%
Will a hurricane form by May 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +2.5%
Named storm forms before hurricane season? ↗
: No
MISPRICING Wrong
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING Wrong
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +5.3%
Will Claude go down 12+ times in May? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +2.5%
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +3.9%
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +1.2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +3.1%
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 31? ↗
: No
ABSURD +4.4%
Will Russia enter Stinky by May 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +11.1%
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026? ↗
: No
ABSURD +20.5%
Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by May 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +1.5%
Epstein suicide note released by May 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +13.6%
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +2.7%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by May 31, 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +1.4%
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +3.1%
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +2.3%
Labour leadership election scheduled by May 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +2.8%
Kash Patel out by May 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +5.5%
Will Russia capture Pokrovka by May 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +5.8%
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +1.6%
Ruben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +4.3%
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +7.0%
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +1.3%
Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +2.6%
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by May 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +1.9%
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +2.1%
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +2.8%
Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +2.8%
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +2.9%
Starmer out by May 31, 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +3.8%
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +4.7%
Will Russia enter Myrne by May 31, 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +22.0%
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $690b on May 31? ↗
: Yes
MISPRICING +12.4%
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +1.6%
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by May 31? ↗
: No
ABSURD +1.7%
Will Comey smile in his mugshot? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +7.1%
Will Qatar send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +3.3%
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +2.3%
US bank failure by May 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +4.5%
GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +12.4%
Israel closes its airspace by May 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +19.8%
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +5.5%
Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +1.7%
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +2.6%
Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by May 31, 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +3.5%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +5.8%
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +5.8%
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +7.5%
Evo Morales arrested by May 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +1.8%
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +1.9%
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +2.7%
Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by May 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +3.6%
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +2.5%
Will Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +6.4%
Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by May 31, 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +4.1%
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by May 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +6.8%
Will Russia capture Myropillia by May 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +6.4%
Will Russia enter Khatnie by May 31, 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +4.8%
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +11.9%
Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by May 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +6.5%
Will Russia enter Svitle by May 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +9.1%
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +14.3%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +1.3%
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +1.8%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in May? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +2.5%
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by May 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +11.4%
Cory Mills out as US Rep by May 31? ↗
: No
ABSURD +10.5%
Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +1.3%
Will Bahrain send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +1.5%
Will Kuwait send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +1.8%
Will Saudi Arabia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +1.3%
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +1.5%
Will Oman send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +1.8%
Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +2.6%
Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +3.1%
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +3.2%
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by May 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +4.7%
Will the United Arab Emirates send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +4.2%
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +4.5%
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +6.3%
Will Russia capture Toretske by May 31, 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +4.9%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +11.7%
Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by May 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +11.7%
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +15.6%
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by May 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +13.6%
Will Russia enter Borova by May 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +1.5%
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +1.5%
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +1.9%
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +6.4%
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by May 31, 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +3.3%
Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +5.5%
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in May 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +6.4%
Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in May 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +6.0%
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +7.5%
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +12.6%
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by May 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +8.1%
Iran leadership change by May 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +12.4%
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +13.0%
US x China tariff agreement by May 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +14.3%
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +16.3%
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +8.1%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31? ↗
: No
ABSURD +2.4%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? ↗
: No
ABSURD +2.9%
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +9.3%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +5.7%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +61.3%
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +5.2%
Iran closes its airspace by May 27? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +5.4%
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election? ↗
: Yes
MISPRICING +1.1%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in May? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +1.7%
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +1.1%
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 in May? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +1.2%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +4.0%
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 in May? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +8.1%
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +1.9%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +44.9%
Pooh Shiesty charged by May 31? ↗
: Yes
5050_TRAP +46.0%
Nothing Ever Happens: March ↗
: Nothing
MISPRICING +1.2%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in May? ↗
: No
MISPRICING Wrong
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026? ↗
: No
ABSURD Wrong
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +40.8%
Will Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027? ↗
: Yes
MISPRICING +3.4%
Will Gregor Heise be the Republican Nominee for TX-30? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +3.7%
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision? ↗
: Yes
MISPRICING +2.9%
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election? ↗
: Yes
MISPRICING +8.1%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +17.0%
Israel closes its airspace by May 24? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +9.9%
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +2.8%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +4.2%
Will Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +5.3%
Will Trump announce the release of detained Americans? ↗
: No
MISPRICING Wrong
Major US official out by May 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +7.6%
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 31 2026? ↗
: Yes
MISPRICING +1.6%
Iran closes its airspace by May 21? ↗
: No
MISPRICING Wrong
Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +4.3%
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026? ↗
: Yes
MISPRICING +2.7%
Will Stephen Heidt win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +18.3%
Will Amy McGrath be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +4.2%
Will Jim Risch be the Republican nominee for Senate in Idaho? ↗
: Yes
MISPRICING +8.1%
Will Tommy Tuberville win the 2026 Alabama Governor Republican primary election? ↗
: Yes
MISPRICING +53.8%
Did a crypto hedge fund blow up? ↗
: No
MISPRICING Wrong
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026? ↗
: Yes
MISPRICING +169.2%
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +18.3%
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%? ↗
: Yes
ARBITRAGE +39.9%
Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +4.5%
Starmer out by May 15, 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +21.2%
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 15 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +2.4%
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +12.5%
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026? ↗
: Yes
MISPRICING +10.3%
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026? ↗
: Yes
MISPRICING +3.1%
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +13.3%
Cerebras IPO before 2027? ↗
: Yes
MISPRICING +3.1%
Will Analilia Mejia win the NJ-11 Special Election by less than 20%Analilia Mejia ↗
: No
MISPRICING +8.1%
Will 49 or fewer senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +57.5%
Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +65.3%
Will Trump visit China by May 15? ↗
: Yes
MISPRICING Wrong
Will Thom Tillis vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +13.1%
Will Elizabeth Warren vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +3.5%
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15? ↗
: No
ARBITRAGE +18.3%
Will Zachary Shrewsbury be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia? ↗
: No
5050_TRAP +22.0%
Will Trump visit China by May 31? ↗
: Yes
MISPRICING +6.4%
Will Brinker Harding be the Republican nominee for NE-02? ↗
: Yes
MISPRICING Wrong
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +50.4%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? ↗
: No
MISPRICING Wrong
Will April 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record? ↗
: Yes
MISPRICING +12.4%
Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING Wrong
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +6.5%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +9.6%
Will Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections? ↗
: Yes
MISPRICING +4.3%
Will Amelia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +24.2%
Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election? ↗
: Yes
MISPRICING +12.9%
Trump's mail-in voting executive order blocked in April? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +2.3%
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 200M by May 1? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +6.4%
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election? ↗
: Yes
MISPRICING +8.1%
Will Zendaya wear a wedding or engagement ring at the Met Gala? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +37.0%
Will Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +9.3%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30? ↗
: No
MISPRICING Wrong
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +5.3%
AWS service disrupted by April 30? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +3.7%
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26? ↗
: Up
MISPRICING +5.3%
Will Nate and Cassie marry in Euphoria: Season 3? ↗
: Yes
MISPRICING +41.8%
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +17.6%
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING Wrong
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +19.8%
Will Kim Kardashian pass the bar exam by May 3? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +2.2%
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.00 (LOW) by April 30, 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +52.3%
Will Pacto Histórico win 24-26 seats in the Colombian Senate in the 2026 Colombian parliamentary election? ↗
: Yes
MISPRICING +7.5%
Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +23.5%
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +135.3%
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? ↗
: Yes
MISPRICING +8.3%
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in April 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +15.6%
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $670b on April 30? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +2.1%
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by April 30? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +2.2%
Internet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +2.1%
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +2.1%
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +4.9%
Will Trump disparage Pope Leo XIV by April 30? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +4.7%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +8.8%
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30? ↗
: No
MISPRICING Wrong
Will President Trump sign 4 pieces of legislation into law in April? ↗
: Yes
MISPRICING +5.8%
Israel military action on Damascus by April 30, 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +2.1%
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +2.2%
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +3.1%
Will Bad Bunny have a #1 hit in April? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +3.1%
Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +3.2%
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $360 end of April? ↗
: Yes
MISPRICING +3.8%
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +4.1%
Trump ballroom project unblocked by April 30? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +4.9%
Houthis successfully target shipping by April 30? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +11.1%
Kash Patel out by April 30? ↗
: No
MISPRICING Wrong
Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026? ↗
: Yes
MISPRICING Wrong
Will SpaceX have exactly 12 launches in April? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +2.1%
Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +58.7%
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +4.2%
Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by April 30? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +2.2%
Will Marco Rubio visit China by April 30, 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +2.8%
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by April 30? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +3.6%
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +2.2%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in April? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +12.4%
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $3.00 end of April? ↗
: Yes
MISPRICING +13.0%
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +2.9%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +3.1%
Will Russia capture Havrylivka by April 30, 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +4.7%
Masoud Pezeshkian out by April 30? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +5.4%
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +7.2%
Will SpaceX have exactly 16 launches in April? ↗
: No
MISLEADING +3.7%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +3.5%
Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by April 30? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +9.7%
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster? ↗
: No
5050_TRAP +5.4%
Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in April 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +7.5%
U.S. Congress member out over Epstein files by April 30? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +43.9%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +3.3%
KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +2.6%
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026? ↗
: Yes
MISPRICING Wrong
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026? ↗
: Yes
MISPRICING +24.2%
Will SpaceX have less than or equal to 11 launches in April? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +10.4%
Will Apple dip to $216 in April? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +14.9%
Will Meta have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)? ↗
: No
MISPRICING Wrong
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +25.0%
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)? ↗
: Yes
MISPRICING +27.4%
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)? ↗
: Yes
MISPRICING +13.0%
Will NVIDIA dip to $160 in April? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +30.7%
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026? ↗
: No
ARBITRAGE +14.2%
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 1.0%? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +2.5%
Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference? ↗
: Yes
MISPRICING +2.4%
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)? ↗
: Yes
MISPRICING +4.3%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? ↗
: No
MISPRICING Wrong
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April? ↗
: No
MISPRICING Wrong
Will MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by April 30? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +2.6%
Trump re-sues WSJ by April 27? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +17.8%
Will PLC win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election? ↗
: Yes
MISPRICING Wrong
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30? ↗
: No
MISPRICING Wrong
GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +3.0%
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +2.0%
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 21? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +3.3%
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 17-20, 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +15.6%
Octra FDV above $200M one day after launch? ↗
: No
MISPRICING Wrong
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +4.4%
Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? ↗
: Yes
MISPRICING Wrong
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 6, 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +3.3%
Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? ↗
: Yes
MISPRICING +20.5%
Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +7.2%
Will Waymo launch in Miami by June 30 2026? ↗
: Yes
MISPRICING +3.7%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +2.1%
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 14? ↗
: No
MISPRICING Wrong
Will Starmer say "U-Turn" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +27.4%
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 31, 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +7.5%
Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more? ↗
: Yes
MISPRICING Wrong
Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026? ↗
: No
MISLEADING +11.1%
Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026? ↗
: Yes
MISPRICING Wrong
Military action against Iran ends by May 31, 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +3.1%
Will Justin Bieber drop out as a Coachella 2026 Headliner? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +40.4%
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 56%? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +77.1%
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 59% and 60%? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +4.7%
Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the April Meeting? ↗
: Yes
MISPRICING +21.2%
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 55%? ↗
: No
5050_TRAP +20.0%
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 58% and 59%? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +190.3%
Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March? ↗
: No
MISPRICING Wrong
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in March? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +11.4%
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in March 2026? ↗
: No
5050_TRAP Wrong
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China? ↗
: No
MISPRICING Wrong
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +25.8%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April? ↗
: Yes
MISPRICING Wrong
Clavicular charged again by June 30? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +24.2%
Over $60M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +92.3%
Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? ↗
: No
MISPRICING Wrong
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 21, 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +93.1%
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m? ↗
: No
MISPRICING Wrong
Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be between 65% and 70%? ↗
: Yes
5050_TRAP +4.0%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +3.8%
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win 25-29 seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election? ↗
: Yes
MISPRICING Wrong
Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be between 70% and 75%? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +4.0%
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +5.7%
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +149.7%
Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in March? ↗
: Yes
MISPRICING Wrong
Will SpaceX file for an IPO by April 3, 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +38.2%
Will Iran strike the United Kingdom by March 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING Wrong
Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by March 31? ↗
: Yes
ARBITRAGE +41.8%
Will the March 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +9.9%
Will the maximum Arctic sea ice extent this winter be between 14.2m & 14.4m square kilometers? ↗
: Yes
MISPRICING +41.8%
Will Iran strike Bahrain again in March? ↗
: Yes
MISPRICING +3.4%
Will the March 2026 unemployment rate be ≤3.9%? ↗
: No
5050_TRAP +7.0%
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 29, 2026? ↗
: Yes
MISPRICING +5.7%
Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by March 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +11.1%
Will USD fall to 1.4M Iranian rials by March 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +8.1%
Will the KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) close above 4750 on the final trading day of Q1 2026? ↗
: Yes
MISPRICING +2.8%
Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 29, 2026? ↗
: No
5050_TRAP Correct
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in March? ↗
: No
5050_TRAP Correct
Will Rami leave Babymonster? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +3.5%
Will John Fetterman vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +5.3%
Iran leadership change by March 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +2.3%
Another GTA VI trailer released by March 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +4.8%
Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +11.7%
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026? ↗
: No
5050_TRAP Correct
Robinhood launches prediction market through MIAXdx by March 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +2.7%
Will Apple release a new version of the Apple TV by March 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +2.8%
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by March 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +13.0%
Avatar 4 greenlit by March 31? ↗
: No
5050_TRAP Correct
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31? ↗
: No
5050_TRAP Correct
Will Russia enter Serhiivka by March 31? ↗
: No
5050_TRAP Correct
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +2.5%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in March? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +4.7%
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING Wrong
Will Iran strike Dimona by March 31? ↗
: Yes
MISPRICING +2.3%
Will another country recognize Somaliland by March 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +2.8%
Will gas hit (Low) $3.15 by March 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +3.6%
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +5.8%
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +10.5%
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? ↗
: No
5050_TRAP Correct
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +2.3%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in March? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +6.1%
Claude 4.7 released by March 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +6.4%
Will Russia capture Bilytske by March 31, 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +19.0%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? ↗
: No
5050_TRAP Correct
Will India strike Pakistan by March 31? ↗
: No
5050_TRAP Correct
NATO Article 5 by March 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +2.6%
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +7.1%
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $710b on March 31? ↗
: No
MISLEADING +9.3%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +40.6%
Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026? ↗
: Yes
5050_TRAP Correct
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +2.2%
Will Oro launch a token by March 31, 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +3.1%
Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in March? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +3.8%
Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by March 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +2.4%
Nothing Ever Happens: Ilhan Omar ↗
: Nothing
MISPRICING +2.9%
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by March 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +3.4%
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +7.6%
Will Bernie Sanders vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +11.7%
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +22.0%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +6.3%
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +6.5%
Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by March 31, 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +3.6%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +22.4%
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $4.00 end of March? ↗
: Yes
MISPRICING +13.0%
Will gas hit (High) $4.00 by March 31? ↗
: Yes
MISPRICING +2.1%
Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $180 end of March? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +7.5%
Will Meta (META) close above $560 end of March? ↗
: Yes
MISPRICING +17.0%
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on March 31? ↗
: No
5050_TRAP Wrong
Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026? ↗
: No
5050_TRAP Correct
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026? ↗
: Yes
5050_TRAP Correct
Trump cabinet member out by March 31, 2026? ↗
: Yes
5050_TRAP Correct
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +13.0%
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 24, 2026? ↗
: Yes
MISPRICING +16.3%
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of March? ↗
: Yes
MISPRICING Wrong
Will Trump say "Easter" in March? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +11.6%
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 20, 2026? ↗
: Yes
MISPRICING Wrong
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,400 (LOW) in March 2026? ↗
: No
5050_TRAP Correct
Will Iran strike Iraq again in March? ↗
: Yes
MISPRICING +8.8%
Will Heather McPherson win the Canadian NDP Leadership election? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +18.3%
Will Trump say "Rigged" or "Stolen" this week? (March 29) ↗
: Yes
MISPRICING Wrong
Will "Oil" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29) ↗
: Yes
MISPRICING +2.1%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on March 26? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +58.7%
Will Mexico’s February unemployment rate be less than or equal to 2.4%? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +2.2%
Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 24, 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +2.7%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +3.4%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 24? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +3.8%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on March 23? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +7.5%
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 80m? ↗
: No
MISPRICING Wrong
Will "Ready or Not 2: Here I Come" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8.5m and 10m? ↗
: No
5050_TRAP Correct
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (March 22) ↗
: No
MISPRICING +9.3%
Will XRP dip to $1.40 March 16-22? ↗
: Yes
MISPRICING +2.2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 22? ↗
: Yes
MISPRICING +3.5%
Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 19, 2026? ↗
: No
5050_TRAP Correct
Will turnout in the first round of the Texas Republican Senate primary be between 2,200,000 and 2,400,000 voters? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +2.7%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING Wrong
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 6.00% and 6.50%? ↗
: No
5050_TRAP Correct
Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 9, 2026? ↗
: No
MISPRICING +124.7%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026? ↗
: Yes

Başla
Tüm seçimler + 3 hakem gerekçesi Hemen Abone Ol