Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?

Web searches confirm no official announcement from Trump, US government, or military lifting the Strait of Hormuz blockade as of May 7, 2026; recent reports detail Trump pausing Project Freedom escorts while explicitly stating the blockade 'remains in full force and effect' on Truth Social and in statements. Strict rules require clear, explicit announcement of lift, which is absent amid stalled talks and escalation signals. With consensus at 94% No, high volume, and smart money leaning No, P(No resolution) exceeds 99%, making Buy No a near-certain, low-risk trade.

Web searches confirm no official announcement from Trump, US government, or military lifting the Strait of Hormuz blockade as of May 7, 2026; recent news and Trump's Truth Social posts explicitly state the blockade remains 'in full force and effect' while pausing Project Freedom escorts due to talks, but no lift. Escalatory rhetoric and stalled diplomacy make a qualifying announcement by May 8, 11:59 PM ET extremely unlikely, aligning with rules requiring explicit public statement. Heavy No consensus (94%) with supporting evidence and smart money lean makes this a safe ride to No resolution.

Web searches confirm no official announcement from Trump, US government, or military lifting the US blockade of the Strait of Hormuz as of May 7, 2026; recent reports detail pauses in escort operations like Project Freedom but explicitly state the blockade remains in full force pending a deal with Iran, which is stalled. With less than 24 hours to deadline and no indications of imminent resolution, the oracle will resolve No per strict criteria requiring explicit announcement. Consensus at 94% No supported by evidence and smart money, yielding high certainty (P(No) ≈99%) for the recommended Buy No trade.