Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?

No definitive statements from the President, Cabinet, Joint Chiefs, or federal agencies confirming extraterrestrial life or technology exist, despite recent news of Trump promising UFO file releases 'soon'—these teases do not qualify as confirmation under the strict rules. Web searches confirm only speculation and no official announcements or consensus reporting of such statements since market open. No at 97.7¢ reflects consensus (>80%) with verifiable lack of evidence, no plausible flip event in remaining time; smart money also leans No.

Web searches, including targeted queries on .gov sites since market open (2026-04-20), return no official statements from the President, Cabinet, Joint Chiefs, or US federal agencies definitively confirming extraterrestrial life or technology; only speculation, conspiracies, and unrelated UFO topics appear. Consensus of credible reporting also absent, making Yes impossible under rules. With ~4 weeks left, No is near-certain (>99% probability), supporting the 3% edge on Buy No at 97.7¢; smart money leans No (0.95 confidence), aligning with consensus >80% No for safe hold.

Web searches confirm no official statements from the President, Cabinet, Joint Chiefs, or US federal agencies definitively confirming extraterrestrial life or technology since market open on 2026-04-20; results show only speculation, memes, and non-qualifying comments from Congress members like Tim Burchett. Market consensus at 97.7% No with smart money alignment and high volume indicates near-certain No resolution, as no plausible flip-event exists in remaining ~28 days. Analyst's 'absurd' category and Buy No recommendation are accurate and actionable with low risk.