Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m?

Consensus from credible sources including Variety, Box Office Pro, The-Numbers ($190.053M domestic), and Wikipedia ($190.1M) confirms the 5-day opening weekend grossed over $190M as of April 5, exceeding the 180-190M bracket. These precise figures are likely final studio reports, not estimates, and even if exactly 190M, market rules assign boundary values to the higher bracket, ensuring 'No' resolution. With Box Office Mojo expected to match and no contradictory data, 'No' is near-certain (>=95% probability), providing a strong edge over the 52% market price.

The Super Mario Galaxy Movie's 5-day domestic opening weekend box office (April 1-5) totals $190.053 million according to The-Numbers.com daily figures, which exceeds 190 million and falls outside the 180-190 million range. Even if exactly 190 million, the market rules direct resolution to the higher bracket. This data is presented as final, matching consensus estimates from multiple sources, making a 'No' resolution virtually certain while the market prices No at only 52%, providing a substantial edge.