Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by May 31, 2026?

Moonshot AI's official site and API platform list only K2.6 (April 20 release) as current flagship with no K3 mentions, leaks, or announcements as of May 23-24; K3 remains in development per March insider notes and April speculation. Key decision-maker (Moonshot leadership) shows no recent (30-90 day) actions or incentives toward a public K3 launch in the final 7 days, consistent with base rates of 4-8 week gaps between major releases. Smart-money NO whales align with absence of any behavioral signals for a rushed public release.

Official Moonshot.ai site lists only Kimi K2.6 (released April 20) as current; no K3 announcement, public access, or qualifying successor per rules. All sources confirm K3 remains in development/speculation only, with no credible reporting of release. 7 days remain; rules require explicit public announcement + accessibility by deadline (primary source: Moonshot official info). Consensus No at 97.6% with no plausible flip-event satisfies certainty bar for this single-bet.

Market at 97.6¢ No with $3.9K–$42K volume shows strong consensus; Yes price drifted down 2pp over 1w on no opposing flow. Smart money (0.99 confidence) heavily aligned on No side with $289 stake vs $1 on Yes. No recent leaks/announcements of K3 in searches (site shows only K2.6; X/Reddit speculation only); 7 days left with no price action challenging the stale low Yes price. Microstructure clean for consensus No hold.