Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?

The May 2026 WTI contract (CLK26), which is the current active month and will remain active through most of April 2026 until rolling to June around mid-April, already reached intraday highs of $100.54 and $101.24 on March 27, 2026, settling at $99.64 amid strong upward momentum. Given the recent volatility and price action near $100, it is near-certain (>85% true probability) that at least one 1-minute candle high will reach $100 during April trading on either the May or June contract, making Yes at 80¢ mispriced with a solid edge and high annualized return over the short timeframe to resolution. No resolution ambiguities or exclusions apply, as Pyth/CME data confirms such highs.

Current WTI front-month futures are trading around $99-101 with recent daily highs exceeding $100 (e.g., $101.24 on March 27), driven by historic supply disruptions that are ongoing into April. Polymarket's group markets imply ~84% probability for hitting $100, but given sustained elevated prices and volatility, the true probability is higher (~90%), confirming a positive edge on buying Yes at 80% with ~1 month to resolution and annualized return well above 20%. No resolution rule ambiguities or red flags; the trade meets the >=80% true probability threshold.

Current market data from March 23-27, 2026, shows WTI Crude has already breached the $100 mark (hitting $101.26 on March 23) due to the escalation of the US-Iran conflict and the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. While the market officially covers April, the 'Active Month' for April trading is the May contract (CL K26), which is already trading in the $90-$101 range; given the 48-hour ultimatums and active military strikes reported, the probability of hitting $100 in April is extremely high, making the 80% price an undervaluation of a near-certainty.