Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?

Web searches confirm no authentic photos or videos of Mojtaba Khamenei in public since market open on 2026-03-24; all reports emphasize his absence due to severe facial and leg injuries from the Feb 28 airstrike that killed his father, with credible sources like Fox News, Guardian, NYT reporting disfigurement and avoidance of public eye for security/injury reasons. Circulating videos are confirmed AI-generated deepfakes by fact-checks, not qualifying per rules. No consensus credible reporting of real appearances; default to No. Smart money Yes whales (e.g., ImJustKen) contradict but hold small positions relative to portfolio, likely early buyers now underwater as Yes price dropped 19pp in month—evidence overrides, riding 93% No consensus with verifiable support and low flip risk (disfigurement makes authentic public show improbable in 27 days).

Web searches confirm no authentic photos or videos of Mojtaba Khamenei in public since market open on 2026-03-24; all circulating media are debunked as AI-generated or old, with consensus reporting severe injuries from airstrikes preventing appearances and rumors of him being dead or hiding. Rules require new, authentic visual evidence plus credible reporting consensus, which is absent, defaulting to No; with 27 days left, pattern of 40+ days avoidance amid war and health issues makes Yes highly unlikely (P(Yes)<10%). Smart money on Yes (7 whales) likely entered early when Yes was higher (price dropped 19pp in month), but high-volume crowd at 92% No reflects reality, overriding whale signal as no flip-event evident.

Web searches confirm no authentic photographs or videos of Mojtaba Khamenei released since market open on 2026-03-24; all purported sightings are debunked as AI-generated deepfakes by fact-checks from credible outlets like Yahoo, Deccan Herald, and WION. Severe facial and leg injuries from the airstrike are widely reported (e.g., NY Post, Euronews), explaining absence and making a qualifying public appearance by May 31 unlikely, with official statements being written only. Smart money leaning Yes (7 whales) is contradicted by evidence and price trend toward No; whales likely anticipate eventual recovery but overlook strict rules requiring visual consensus authenticity within deadline, supporting Buy No as high-certainty (>95% P(No)) vs market 93¢.