Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be between 65% and 70%?

Official results from the Slovenian State Election Commission (dvk-rs.si) report voter turnout at approximately 69.94% to 69.99% with nearly all ballots counted, clearly within the 65-70% range. The Polymarket remains dramatically mispriced at 12% Yes despite results published over a week ago on March 31, 2026, offering a near-certain arbitrage opportunity with minimal risk as the final certification is imminent and unlikely to change the figure. This satisfies all resolution criteria including source, timing, and definitions, with true Yes probability exceeding 99%.

Official results from the Slovenian State Election Commission's portal (volitve.dvk-rs.si) report voter turnout at 69.99% for the March 22, 2026, parliamentary election, with 99.99% of precincts reporting as of March 31, 2026, clearly falling within the 65-70% range. The Polymarket remains unresolved with Yes priced at around 14%, confirming a massive mispricing despite the published data. This trade has near-certain resolution to Yes given the formal rules and authoritative source.

The 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections took place on March 22, 2026. Official data from the State Election Commission (DVK) and credible reports from RTV SLO confirm the final voter turnout was 69.32%, which falls squarely within the 65% to 70% range. The market is currently mispriced at $0.12 despite the event having already concluded with a verifiable outcome.