Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May 2026?

Trump (post-China trip) and Zelenskyy (publicly distancing per May 11 NYT reporting) show zero recent movement or incentive toward an in-person meeting in the final 6 days of May; no announcements, schedules, or procedural steps exist. Base rate for ad-hoc leader summits with zero lead time is near zero, and strained bilateral dynamics make last-minute action implausible. Analyst's No thesis holds under behavioral lens.

Rules require in-person meeting May 1-31 2026 (post-market open) resolved by consensus credible reporting; enrichment and searches confirm only 2025 meetings plus May 2026 China trip with no Zelenskyy encounter or plans, leaving 6 days with no plausible path to Yes. Smart-money Yes stakes are negligible and do not contradict. Analyst's Buy No side aligns unambiguously with rules and evidence.

Low $9K volume and thin liquidity confirm the 98.1¢ No price reflects real (if sparse) consensus with no aggressive flow challenging it; recent price action is flat-to-stable and smart-money YES whales hold only $5 total stake (negligible, not insider-level). No recent news or price drift signals an imminent Zelenskyy meeting in the final 6 days, consistent with the analyst's mispricing thesis on the No side.