Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?

The first round results from the Peruvian presidential election on April 12-13, 2026, show Keiko Fujimori at 17.07% (1st), Roberto Sánchez at 12.04% (2nd), and Rafael López Aliaga at 11.90% (3rd), with 96% of votes counted per ONPE and confirmed by JNE for a Fujimori-Sánchez runoff on June 7. This definitively means the specific pair of López Aliaga and Fujimori did not both advance, resolving the market to No per consensus credible reporting and official sources. Buying No at 97¢ offers a safe 3% edge on the heavily consensus-priced side with near-100% certainty.

First-round results from ONPE show Keiko Fujimori at 17.07%, Roberto Sánchez at 12.04%, and Rafael López Aliaga at 11.90% with 96.05% of votes counted as of April 27, 2026; the JNE has confirmed Fujimori and Sánchez advance to the June 7 runoff. This consensus of credible reporting, including Wikipedia, Reuters, and AP, clearly indicates the specified pair did not both advance, so the market resolves No. No is priced at 97% (consensus >80% with verifiable evidence), making the 3% edge on No high-certainty and actionable despite the market's end date having passed.

The 2026 Peruvian presidential first-round election results, as reported by ONPE with over 96% of votes counted (per Wikipedia citing official sources), show Keiko Fujimori leading at 17.07%, Roberto Sánchez at 12.04%, and Rafael López Aliaga third at 11.90%; multiple credible outlets (Reuters, AP) confirm Fujimori and Sánchez advance to the June 7 runoff, with JNE rejecting annulment challenges. This definitively means López Aliaga and Fujimori do not both advance, so the market resolves 'No'. At 97% No pricing, buying No offers a safe 3% edge with near-100% certainty given the consensus evidence and lack of ambiguity.