Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

The period ends today at 12 PM ET; X search from @khamenei_ir (June 9-17 window) returns only one apparent repost of 2021 content with no new main/quote/reposts in the interval. Recent context (Khamenei's reported death/funeral, Mojtaba succession) aligns with account inactivity. This is a pure factual count with no human gatekeeper or behavioral incentive to alter posting; analyst's Yes side on <5 bin is correct at near-100% probability.

The period ends 12:00 PM ET today; X search from:khamenei_ir since:2026-06-09 until:2026-06-16 returns zero qualifying new posts (only an irrelevant 2021 repost surfaced). Tracker and secondary X source confirm 0 posts, satisfying the <5 bin exactly under the explicit main-feed/quote/repost rules. Ladder structure and consensus pricing create no plausible neighboring-bin flip risk before deadline.

Market at 97-98% Yes on <5 posts with $6.8K volume on this bin and total $16K; price drifting +12pp in last day toward Yes on the final day of the window. X search confirms zero qualifying posts from @khamenei_ir in the June 9-16 ET interval (only a 2021 archive post returned). Smart-money whales on NO ($29 stake) are overridden as the on-chain activity and direct account scan show the account remained silent, consistent with the consensus price rather than any hidden flow.