Evo Morales arrested by May 31?

Bolivian authorities (judiciary, prosecutors, police) hold the warrant but have shown zero execution attempts since reissuance on May 12; Morales remains sheltered in Chapare by organized coca-grower networks that have blocked prior operations and explicitly threaten nationwide disruption. With only 7 days left, no procedural or operational steps can realistically complete against a protected fugitive in hostile territory. Base rate of swift arrests in such setups is near-zero; recent behavior (hiding + supporter mobilization) points to continued evasion through May 31.

Rules require executed physical custody/booking/surrender (warrant alone explicitly excluded); enrichment + all credible reporting confirm only reissued warrant on May 12 with Morales still in hiding/protected as of May 23-24, no qualifying detention. With 7 days left and no structural path to execution by deadline, market resolves No per literal criteria and default-No on ambiguity. Analyst's Buy No side is unambiguously supported.