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Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by May 31? | No | 2026-05-31
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echo -n "Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by May 31? | No | 2026-05-31" | shasum -a 256 | cut -c1-8Bryan Johnson controls the sole trigger (public X announcement of sex); his 30-day posting history shows zero movement toward any such disclosure and his longevity brand creates strong disincentive for it. This is a low-friction Yes outcome (single tweet suffices) on a consensus No trade priced 85¢ with only 48 hours left, triggering default rejection per the low-friction rule. No behavioral pattern or incentive supports the required announcement before deadline.
Rules require explicit public announcement by Bryan Johnson (via his X account or official channels) of having had sex after market creation (Apr 30) and before May 31 11:59 PM ET; no such announcement exists in his recent posts (latest relevant activity is May 26 meeting parents, with prior sex mention predating market open). Primary source is his own statements, so absence of announcement by deadline forces No. Analyst's Buy No side aligns exactly with literal criteria and 2-day window leaves no room for required evidence to appear.
Market prices No at 85¢ (consensus hold) with $31k total volume since Apr 30 (~$7-8k weekly, sufficient for niche celeb market) and 1w price action showing Yes weakening (-16.5pp). Smart money leans No (4 whales vs 2 on Yes, though low 0.13 confidence) with no high-confidence opposing flow or thin-book red flags (spread consistent with low-liquidity event). Microstructure clean and aligned with recommended side; no whale or volume signals contradicting the thesis.
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