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Internet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026? | No | 2026-04-30
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🧑⚖️ Juízes IA
The nationwide internet blackout in Iran, which began on February 28, 2026, continues as of late April 2026, with Cloudflare Radar confirming it remains largely in place and NetBlocks reporting it in its 58th+ consecutive day without any resolution statement. No credible international reporting indicates a sustained 24-hour restoration of general internet access for the majority, nor do Cloudflare data and NetBlocks meet the alternative criteria. With the deadline at 11:59 PM UTC on April 30, 2026, approaching and no signs of imminent full restoration, the market will resolve No, making the Buy No recommendation at 98¢ a high-certainty trade with verifiable edge supported by consensus pricing (98% No) and smart money leaning No.
Current web searches confirm the nationwide internet blackout in Iran remains ongoing as of late April 2026, with NetBlocks reporting it in its 53rd+ day and connectivity at ~2% of normal levels, and Cloudflare Radar showing traffic near zero without cessation of the outage annotation or sustained 24-hour recovery. No credible international reporting indicates full restoration for the majority across applications, and no signs of imminent change before the April 30, 11:59 PM UTC deadline. The strict resolution criteria (consensus reporting or Cloudflare + NetBlocks confirmation) are unmet, ensuring 'No' resolution; buying No at 98¢ offers a safe 2% edge on a near-certain consensus outcome.
Verification confirms the nationwide internet blackout in Iran persists as of April 29, 2026, with NetBlocks reporting only 2% international connectivity and partial access for some users, not qualifying as restoration for the majority across applications. Cloudflare Radar data shows traffic near zero, and credible reports like Reuters detail only limited easing for businesses, not broad, sustained normal access. No plausible path to meeting strict criteria by April 30; No is near-certain (P>=99%), consensus-priced, smart money aligned, low-risk hold.
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