Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 15?

Key actors (Commerce Dept under Trump admin, Anthropic) issued the June 12 directive citing national security and have shown no movement toward reversal; Anthropic is pursuing litigation instead. No qualifying official announcement (Trump, gov, or Anthropic) occurred by the June 15 11:59 PM ET deadline per all recent reporting and Anthropic's own site. Base rate for rescinding a fresh export-control directive in 3 days is effectively zero; recent behavior confirms the ban remains in force.

Deadline of June 15 11:59 PM ET has passed with zero qualifying announcements from Trump, US government, or Anthropic rescinding/modifying the June 12 Commerce directive (primary sources: Anthropic's own June 12 statement and contemporaneous reporting confirm only imposition, no lift). Rules explicitly require a clear public/official statement that federal guidance no longer directs blocking foreign-national access to Fable 5; none exists, so market resolves No per the explicit 'otherwise No' clause. No RESOLVER UPDATES override the description.

Deadline of June 15 passed with zero qualifying announcements or rescissions per all recent reporting; No at 98¢ is the correct near-certainty outcome. Low $7k volume and recent open are consistent with a short-horizon consensus hold rather than any mispricing. Smart-money whales (low 0.27 confidence) are aligned with No and no high-confidence opposing flow exists.