Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win 25-29 seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election?

Official results from the Slovenian Election Authority (dvk-rs.si) confirm that Freedom Movement (GS) won 29 seats with 28.63% of the vote, which falls squarely within the 25-29 seat range. This is corroborated by Wikipedia citing the official source and multiple credible news outlets reporting the narrow victory for GS. With 99.99% of votes counted and no disputes, the market will resolve Yes with certainty, making buying Yes at 96¢ a low-risk arbitrage with ~4% edge and imminent resolution.

Official Slovenian election results from DVK (99.99% counted) and Wikipedia confirm Freedom Movement (GS) won 29 seats, which falls within the 25-29 range. Consensus of credible reporting aligns, satisfying resolution criteria with no ambiguity. Despite Yes priced at 96%, this leaves a small positive edge with near-certain resolution to Yes soon.

Official final results from the March 22, 2026, Slovenian election confirm that the Freedom Movement (GS) won 29 seats in the 90-seat National Assembly. This falls exactly within the 25-29 seat bracket specified by the market, making the 'Yes' outcome a certainty based on the formal rules and consensus reporting.