Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?

Deadline of June 15 has passed with no restoration announced or implemented by Anthropic (still suspended per official statements and all reporting through June 16). Anthropic's incentives favor quick restoration but are blocked by the Commerce Dept. export directive requiring compliant geo/user filtering that cannot be rolled out instantly; no evidence of the necessary technical or legal steps completing in the 3-day window. Base rate for rapid reversal of such directives is near-zero.

Market deadline of June 15 11:59 PM ET has passed with no qualifying public restoration of Claude Fable 5 / Mythos (same model) to US customers; Anthropic statements and all credible reporting confirm ongoing global suspension since June 12 with only future intent to restore. Rules require public announcement + accessibility by deadline (primary source: official Anthropic info or consensus reporting); none exists. No plausible flip-event post-deadline.

Market closed June 15 with No at 97.5% on $112k volume and tight spreads; no restoration occurred per Anthropic statements and all reporting through June 16. Smart-money whales (including top holder) are aligned on No. Price action and order book show real consensus with no opposing flow or sibling-bin contradiction.