Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?

All recent FOMC press conference transcripts, including March 18, 2026, January 28, 2026, and several from 2025, show Chair Powell opening with 'Good afternoon,' confirming the analyst's claim of consistent usage. The April 29, 2026, press conference is scheduled as planned with no reported changes. At 98% Yes pricing, this represents a near-certain resolution to Yes, providing a reliable 2% edge on a consensus position with resolution tomorrow.

All available FOMC press conference transcripts, including recent ones from March 2026, January 2026, and December 2025, show Jerome Powell opening with 'Good afternoon.' The April 29, 2026, press conference is confirmed scheduled for 2:30 PM ET, with no indications of change or deviation from this standard greeting pattern. At 98% Yes pricing, this is a high-consensus trade with near-certain resolution to Yes, supported by unambiguous historical evidence and formal rules that match the phrase regardless of minor formatting.

Historical FOMC press conference transcripts from federalreserve.gov confirm Jerome Powell consistently opens every recent conference (March 2026, January 2026, December 2025, and prior) with 'Good afternoon,' making it a standard greeting with no exceptions found. The April 29, 2026, press conference is confirmed scheduled for 2:30 PM ET post-FOMC meeting, with resolution based on video/transcripts matching this pattern. At 98% Yes (consensus >80%), the 2% edge reflects near-certainty (P(Yes) ≈99.9%), unaffected by minor smart money lean (0.67 confidence).