Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?

Gustavo Petro remains the sitting President of Colombia as of April 29, 2026, with no reports of resignation, impeachment, detention, or removal. The 2026 presidential election is scheduled for May 31, with inauguration 49 days later (at earliest July 19), ensuring Petro holds office through June 30. The No share at 98¢ is correctly priced near certainty given constitutional timelines and lack of qualifying events, aligning with consensus pricing above 80% and verifiable facts.

Gustavo Petro remains President of Colombia as of April 29, 2026, with no credible reports of resignation, impeachment, detention, or removal. The 2026 presidential election is scheduled for May 31, with inauguration 49 days after the final round (no earlier than July 19), ensuring Petro holds office through June 30. Consensus at 98% No aligns with near-certain resolution to No (P>=99%), making the 2% edge actionable with low tail risk over 2 months.

Colombia's presidential election is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with inauguration exactly 49 days later on July 19, 2026 at the earliest if no runoff, ensuring Gustavo Petro remains president until after June 30. No credible reports indicate any resignation, impeachment, detention, or removal as of April 29, 2026; recent news confirms he is actively serving as president. This makes 'No' near-certain (P >= 99%), a safe consensus hold at 98¢ with no plausible flip events before the deadline.