Will Waymo launch in London by June 30 2026?

Verification confirms Waymo's official plans include a limited pilot in April 2026, which does not qualify under market rules requiring general public access via the app, and commercial public launch targeted for September 2026, after the June 30 deadline. No credible reports or official updates indicate a public launch has occurred or is imminent by June 30; the rides page listing London likely reflects testing areas, as a dedicated UK page states 'coming soon.' Thus, Yes probability remains low (~10-15%), making No at 79¢ a strong buy with true No probability >85%, providing actionable edge.

Official Waymo UK page confirms no commercial rides available yet, only mapping/safety trials with safety drivers ongoing, aligning with reports of a pilot starting around April 2026 but excluding public hailing via app. Credible reporting consistently targets commercial public launch in September 2026 or Q4, after the June 30 deadline, and pilots explicitly do not qualify per rules. With ~3 months left and no signs of acceleration, true No probability exceeds 80%, making the 21% Yes price a mispricing favoring No.