Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 70% and 75%?

Official ONPE results confirm second-round turnout at exactly 71.35% (between 70-75%), per Wikipedia citing direct ONPE links for the June 7 election. The market opened before the election and resolves solely on these official figures (already public by June 17); no procedural delays or disputes alter the denominator or numerator. Certainty exceeds 95% with zero behavioral or incentive factors at play post-election.

Official ONPE results confirm 71.35% turnout in the June 7 second round (Wikipedia citing https://resultadosegundavuelta.onpe.gob.pe/main/presidenciales), which falls squarely inside the 70-75% ladder bin. Market rules resolve solely on ONPE/JNE official % Total Asistentes (attendees/electores hábiles) with no attribution, timing, or exclusion issues; results are definitive well before the Dec 31, 2026 fallback. This is a consensus-priced bin (97.8¢ Yes) with no plausible rule-based flip and verifiable evidence already public.

Official ONPE data confirms 71.35% turnout ( squarely in 70-75% bin) per Wikipedia and linked sources; Yes at 97.8¢ with $13k volume, tight implied consensus, and smart-money whales (incl. balthazar) heavily long Yes at 1.0 confidence. Post-election price action stable with no opposing flow or sibling-bin contradiction; microstructure fully consistent with near-certain resolution to Yes.