Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?

No qualifying declaration has been made by the IAU, Trump, or White House representatives as of May 10, 2026; web searches confirm only ongoing debate from Isaacman's April testimony with no action from authoritative sources. The market rules require an explicit, unqualified statement declaring Pluto a planet, which is highly improbable given IAU's firm 2006 stance and lack of scheduled actions, aligning with 96% No consensus pricing. Buy No offers a safe, high-certainty edge on this consensus position with ~50 days left and no plausible flip event identified.

No qualifying explicit declaration has occurred from the IAU, Trump, or White House sources as verified by web searches (all recent news limited to Isaacman's April 2026 advocacy without action) and X searches (no Trump posts on Pluto since April). IAU maintains 2006 classification with no general assembly or emergency resolution scheduled before deadline, making Yes highly improbable. Analyst's Buy No aligns with 96% consensus pricing, supported by evidence for near-certain No resolution.

No qualifying declaration has been made by the IAU, Donald Trump, or White House representatives as of May 10, 2026; web searches confirm only debate sparked by NASA Administrator Isaacman's April 2026 comments, with no IAU action, assembly, or Trump statement on Pluto's planetary status. IAU website shows no changes, next assembly in 2027, and Trump has no relevant posts. With ~50 days left, unprecedented action required for Yes, making No near-certain (P>99%) and aligning with 96% crowd consensus; edge remains actionable.