Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?

No new countries have joined since the February 2026 inaugural meeting despite dozens of initial invitations; major powers (France, UK, Germany, China, India, Brazil) have declined or stayed noncommittal with zero reported diplomatic movement in the last 90+ days. With only 13 days left, the required definitive public announcement or charter signing by any government lacks any incentive, capability, or procedural pathway to occur. Base rate of rapid late accessions to such bodies is near zero, confirming No at >90% probability.

Rules require a definitive public government announcement or formal charter signing (via official info or credible consensus) by a new country between market open (Apr 1) and June 30 11:59pm ET; no such events have occurred since the Feb inaugural meeting per all reporting, and the 13-day window plus lack of momentum make any qualifying action structurally impossible. Smart-money NO lean is consistent and not contradicted by any resolver updates or evidence gaps. Buy No at 95.4¢ meets the >=90% certainty bar with low resolution risk.

Price action shows Yes steadily declining (1m -25pp, 1w -5pp) on $60K volume with no reversal, consistent with zero new accessions since Feb per all reporting. Smart-money whales lean NO (though only 0.66 confidence) and order-book/liquidity appear sufficient for the 95¢ level. With 13 days left and no late catalyst visible, microstructure confirms the near-certain No outcome.