McDonald's CEO out by June 30?

Kempczinski (CEO since 2019) and the McDonald's board show zero incentive or procedural momentum for an exit announcement by June 30; he remains publicly active with 2026 forecasts and earnings commentary as recently as May 2026, with no board tensions or performance crises. Base rates for sudden CEO departures at stable large-caps without prior signals are near zero in 40-day windows. Recent 30-90 day behavior (ongoing engagement, no succession moves) aligns fully with continuity, supporting the 98% No consensus.

Rules require either official McDonald's announcement or consensus credible reporting of Kempczinski ceasing to be CEO (or resignation announcement) by 11:59 PM ET on 2026-06-30; no such event or signal exists per current status, and the 40-day window to deadline contains no plausible attribution/timing loophole that would flip to Yes. Market opened 2026-03-06 so only post-open developments count, and enrichment confirms zero credible exit catalysts or board actions. Consensus-priced No at 98.8% with no flip-event risk meets the certainty bar for approval on the recommended side.