Will Ghislaine Maxwell Testify to Congress about Epstein?

House Oversight Committee (key decision-maker) has active Epstein probe but has targeted Clinton, Gates, Black, Bondi, Blanche, Patel — zero signals or invitations for Maxwell in last 30-90 days. Maxwell (incarcerated) lacks unilateral capability; Congress controls subpoena/invitation and has shown no procedural momentum toward her in the 29-day window. Base rate of a high-profile federal prisoner delivering focused Epstein testimony to Congress in under a month is near-zero; no aligned incentives or recent actions support Yes.

Rules require Maxwell to provide qualifying testimony (primary focus on Epstein info, live/recorded etc.) by 6/30/26 ET per consensus credible reporting; her Feb 2026 closed-door deposition consisted solely of Fifth Amendment refusals with no substantive answers, which fails the 'provides testimony' and 'primary focus' criteria. No credible reporting or signals indicate any new qualifying appearance in the remaining 29 days, and prior enrichment confirms committee focus on other witnesses. Recommended No side meets >=90% certainty bar with no rule-based path to Yes.

Market at 98¢ No with $5.8K total volume and 1m Yes price drop of 7.6pp shows thin but stable consensus; smart-money whales hold $1,143 on No (0.98 confidence) vs $10 on Yes, with no opposing flow. No post-Feb 9 news of any qualifying Maxwell testimony (she pled Fifth in the only deposition), and page comments focus on other witnesses, confirming no repricing pressure toward Yes before June 30.